Wind energyProject Wind Forecasting Demonstration Project
This final knowledge sharing report captures the whole Wind Forecasting Demonstration Project including data collection, physical analysis, machine learning approaches, and results.
The purpose of this project was to perform forecasting of wind power generation on Meridian Energy’s Mount Mercer wind farm. Previous projects (Naemi 2020, Pichault 2021, Pichault 2021) had not incorporated data from the individual wind turbines for prediction of power on the wind farm scale. In this project we utilise the individual wind turbine data and aim to forecast wind power generation on the wind farm level using statistical and physical approaches. We were interested in producing the best forecasts for the power output six minutes and ten seconds ahead in the future, reflecting the time frame required to submit forecasts to the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO).